Day: March 12, 2026
2/ Read the full Iran Update Evening Special Report, March 11, 2026: isw.pub/IranUpdate031126PM
— Institute for the Study of War (@TheStudyofWar) Mar 12, 2026
NEW: The Iranian parliament speaker, a former senior military commander with close ties to the military, said that Iran opened the war by targeting US radar and air defenses to attack any target with fewer missiles. This strategy is not working to stop ballistic missiles, though drones remain a concern. Interception rates of ballistic missiles have not changed significantly.
More Key Takeaways:
Iran’s attacks targeting radars and other missile defense equipment in the Gulf have not achieved the regime’s objective of degrading air defenses enough to reliably penetrate them.
There is evidence of damage to a THAAD battery radar in the UAE, for example, but the damage to this radar has not impacted the interception rate over the UAE.
The UAE, which has received the most Iranian attacks since the war began, has intercepted 241 of 262 ballistic missiles as of March 10, which is an interception rate of 92 percent. This interception rate is equivalent to the Israeli ballistic missile interception rates in April 2024, October 2024, June 2025, and during the current war. The interception rate also includes 19 missiles that were detected, not engaged, and landed in the sea. Only two missiles have hit UAE territory.
Other countries are having similar success, though it is difficult to determine exact interception rates from the available data. The last reported Iranian ballistic missile strike in the Gulf occurred on March 5.— Institute for the Study of War (@TheStudyofWar) Mar 12, 2026
This is what happened on March 11.
After a cascade of Trump admin lies about a fictional Iranian threat: that it was “two weeks” from a nuke; building a “protective shield” of missiles for a nuke; was about to attack US forces; was developing ICBMs to hit the US mainland etc., we finally get a somewhat honest statement on the real “threat” that the Trump admin is targeting.
According to Admiral Brad Cooper, the military commander of Trump’s war on Iran: “We remain centered on very clear military objectives in eliminating Iran’s ability to project power against Americans and against its neighbors.”
Nothing here about nukes or any other kind of threat to US or global security. Just Iran’s ability to “project power.” Which means Iran functioning as an independent, sovereign state that can defend itself against US-Israeli power in its own region.
Video
— Aaron Maté (@aaronjmate) Mar 12, 2026
Turkiye to ban single-use plastics
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