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October Surprise 2016

Bluey Lens 布利觀點: Can Taiwan grow 7% to 8% in 2027? My read: reachable, with about 30% odds (my estimate), and my base case sits at 5% to 7%. Rebase the stats office’s own 2027 path to the new Q3 level, add +1.33% QoQ in Q4, and 2027 comes out near 7.4% (my calc). What would change my read: up if

Can Taiwan grow 7% to 8% in 2027? My read: reachable, with about 30% odds (my estimate), and my base case sits at 5% to 7%. Rebase the stats office’s own 2027 path to the new Q3 level, add +1.33% QoQ in Q4, and 2027 comes out near 7.4% (my calc).

What would change my read: up if