The Hypothesis
During the attempted landing in Grozny, the Ukrainian drones flew close to the Azeri plane. (By design?). They were seen as attackers and were shut at by the air defense operators or the system in auto mode. One of the anti-drones hits, producing shrapnel, was close enough to hit the plane’s tail part, and specifically the place were the “Avionics”, electronic communications control centers are located. Thus the plane “lost the controls” and the maneuverability, complicating the landing. The direct damage to the landing gear is also possible. The plane’s conditions and problems became known to the ground operators from the pattern of its movements, and they refused the permission for it to land for the fear of the casualties on the ground and other reasons. Possibly they were inexperienced and scared. Other places refused landing also, and the plane was directed to Aktau.