The main threat to security and stability in the South Caucasus is Azerbaijani President Ilham #Aliyev’s Armenian-hating politics. Recently, he issued threats against #Armenia, accusing it of being a fascist state and vowing to destroy it. It is clear that Aliyev’s formula for “destruction” involves war, military attacks, and border clashes. I predict that Aliyev’s next war against Armenia will involve long-range strikes. He accuses #France, the #USA, and India of arming Armenia. During the next war, Aliyev will target Armenia’s military facilities to fight against Armenian “revanchism” or “fascism.” Sometimes, I wonder whether Putin “stole” Aliyev’s package of false narratives or Aliyev “st