Day: October 8, 2024

Before there was a FiveThirtyEight model or a New York Times election night needle, there was an economist named Louis Bean.

Chances are, you’ve never been contacted for an election poll. But the dozens of high-quality election polls that will be released before Election Day represent a reasonable estimate of the opinions of all Americans.

Even though polls are sometimes treated as projections, they aren’t designed to tell you who’s likely to win.

Explaining Election Day: How AP declares winners

The report comes six years after Kavanaugh was confirmed to the Supreme Court.